Playing the percentages

The final four games are a big contrast according to ISU's historical performance.

Since ISU is 2-23 since '00 against Big XII teams that finished over .500 (Henceforth referred to as "Overs"), ISU shouldn't beat Mizzou, since they already have 7 wins.

With ISU 18-4 since '00 against Big XII teams that finished under .500 (Henceforth referred to as "Unders"), ISU should beat Colorado, even in Boulder, since CU already has 7 losses.

That leaves KSU, and KU, both 4-4, and yet to play each other. KU ends with Mizzou, which should be a loss, but they get KSU at home, which should be a win, making them 5-5. Their games in Ames and Boulder will seal their fate as an Under or Over. I don't see them losing to BOTH ISU and CU to become and Under (Which ISU should defeat), so they will beat ISU, finish 6-6, and be an Over for this exercise.

KSU hosts Texas in November, a sure fifth loss. Again, I don't see them losing to BOTH ISU and CU to become and Under (Which ISU should defeat), so they will also beat ISU, finish 6-6, and also be an Over.

There it is, ISU goes 1-3 the rest of the way to finish 4-8, and 1-7 in the conference. Enjoy that game in Boulder, everybody!

Disclaimer: The previous is not intended for betting advice, and is for entertainment purposes only. Then again, if you bet money based on the above theorem, you deserve to lose.

Peterclone