A friend who is smarter than me pointed out this interesting trend:
Kirk Ferentz is 2-5 in Ames.
His teams that won in Ames finished the year with 10 and 11 wins.
The teams that lost in Ames finished their years with 7, 7, 7, 6 and 1 win.
To look at it the other way, the ISU teams that have beaten Iowa in Ames
have finished with 6, 3, 7, 7 and 4 wins. That trend is less definitive.
Since few see this year's Hawkeye club winning 8 or 9 more games, Iowa State should probably win.
Or rather, Iowa should probably find a way to lose.