Sunday, September 12, 2021

Outliers

Considering the offensive struggle of the 2021 team, perhaps we should contemplate that the 2020 team was an outlier.

The Cyclones got their best performances when it mattered, avoided major injuries, and played some teams when they were having COVID-19 issues. Human nature is to assume the current situation will remain constant, and change will happen at a steady pace and in the current trajectory.

It's hard to see the outlier in the moment- you can only spot it in hindsight. Would a 7-5 or 8-4 finish make 2021 a dissapointment? Yes. But it would also emphasize how special the 2020 season was.

It was easy to drink the Kool-Aid in the offseason with everyone coming back. But past performance is no guarantee of future returns. So far the offense has returned little.

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